I've just been handed a dossier on this fight by my chief of boxing "Tooko" - a Mexican chihuahua - who has forgotten more about the sport than I have ever known.
It makes for very interesting reading indeed. Or, I assume it does, it's in Spanish so I don't understand a word of it. But while I wait to run it through the translator, let's discuss what we know about this fight and possible outcomes.
Young Cotto is the bigger man - huge even - a natural Welterweight, not Valuev/Haye huge, but still significantly bigger. So big Pacquiao even stated in an interview a while back that he would not fight at Welterweight as Cotto would be too strong for him.
With only one loss on his record - to Antonio Margarito who may just have had a horse shoe in his glove or at least had his fists caked in plaster of paris as they were when he fought Shane Mosley and received a year suspension as a consequence - Cotto may well actually in all probability be favourite for this fight.
Pacquiao is the best pound for pound boxer in the galaxy, lightning fast and a nice chap to boot. Floyd Mayweather may have something to say about that, but he's such a prat I think we can give the decision to Manny. But "pound-for-pound" is the operative phrase here - as you move up the weights there are always going to be some dudes who are just too big no matter how fast you are.
Nonetheless, the betting is heavily skewed in favour of the cockfighting promoter from the Philipines because of his status, so we can dismiss these prices as casual punters lumping on Pacquiao because they probably haven't heard of Cotto and have assumed this will be an easy one.
From what I can tell, opinion amongst those who know, is divided and Cotto should be something like evens, possibly 6/5 - but certainly not the 21/10 currently on offer. A good big one always beats a good small one - except if the fight is under a circus tent - and Miguel is a very good "big one."
Cotto: A good big 'unBreaking news**
Not breaking news really, just something I've read. Manny Pacquiao will be performing at Mandalay Bay after the fight!! Crazyness. He's quite the amateur Sinatra apparently and will regale his audience with 13 songs. Call me over critical, but might young Manny be taking this fight a little too lightly if he thinks he can spin over to Mandalay Bay for a sing song afterwards? For one thing he's assuming his mouth is going to work. I'm even more confident of a Cotto win now.
Labels: Betting, Sport
6 comments:
No no no. Pacquiao will win. He will punch that guy in the face until he falls down like Ricky Hatton.
Is he in his boxer undies in that pic?
Boxing is mans business
I think you shall find that my woman's intuition has never been wrong about that Pac Man guy. He ALWAYS punches people in the face. HARD!!
Yes but of course the other chap will be punching him in the face even HARDER. Really very hard indeed.
Thank god you've changed the photo on your page. I was reading your blog the other day when my dad walked in and saw a pair of tits on there. Made me look like a pervert or something.
To be fair, those were breasts not tits.
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