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I can't get my head around this fight on Saturday. I've become very intrigued by it. I've searched high and low for a reason to justify the price offered up by the bookies for Haye but simply cannot find it. Perhaps it's so obvious I can't see it?

While Haye's trash talking is becoming mildly irritating by now, one has to respect the courage of the man to get in the ring with something that was chasing Jeff Goldblum around a South American island fifteen years ago, but I still can't see how he can win this battle of species.

If one was challenged to knock down an oak tree with ones fists and was given twelve three minute rounds in which to do it, surely even the fittest and most skilled pugilist would find this impossible, no?

Yet this is the feat David Haye has tasked himself with, made even harder by the fact that while he sets about trying to fell this lump of questionable DNA, it'll be swinging it's weighty branches at him regularly and while Valuev is only marginally faster than a tree, they will cause irreparable damage should they connect.

It's not unreasonable for Haye to become rather fatigued as these rounds progress too, so his punches, which probably won't cause the Russian chap much distress in the first place, will feel like being patted down with a warm flannel by the time the bell goes for the 8th round.


What conclusions can one extrapolate from these postulations? I think given Haye's slight of foot and Valuev's immenseness, we can rule out a knock-down. Haye may faint out of pure fatigue as he already has suspect stamina, but a knock-down either way is highly unlikely.

So, a decision then. Haye may win the fight, but being given the decision is a different proposition altogether. Given that this is Germany and German judges have a tendency to delivery decisions that make Equatorial Guinea's judicial system seem considered and reasonable, one would have to assume that Haye would have to win every single round convincingly just to get a split decision.

By all accounts this fight has already been given to Valuev should it go the distance, so unless something extraordinary occurs and Haye actually knocks his "man" out, I can only conclude the 4/1 being offered for a Valuev points decision is the bet. Not a big bet of course, just as much as you'd be prepared to invest in any circus bout.

Labels: Betting, Sport