I'm going to go with unders on the Norwich North by-election spread. Under 41 percent is currently trading at 2.24. Turn-out low 45%. Ian Gibson's resignation has forced this by-election, the good people of Norwich north are not happy about his treatment by the Parliamentary Labour party despite his fiddling of expenses. All those lost Labour votes won't go to the Tories though, so Greens, Lib Dens and UKIP dudes should pick up those votes.
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